The benchmark nobody publishes
Closing Line Value
Did you beat where the betting line ended up? Consistently beating the close is the clearest public proof of a real edge.
If you bet a team at +3 and it closed at +1, you got CLV — the market moved your way after you were in.
Why this is the number that matters
A win rate tells you what already happened. Closing line value tells you whether you were right to be in — the strongest leading indicator that an edge is real, because the closing line is the market's most efficient estimate. Beat it consistently and profit tends to follow; lose to it and even a lucky run erodes.
It is also the one number tout services and “AI prediction” sites almost never show. A curated win streak is easy to screenshot. Beating the close, counted over every settled pick, is not. That is exactly why we publish it.
CLV report — accruing
Closing line value is still accruing. The CLV report opens once enough picks have settled and been graded against the closing line. No number is shown before it can be honestly backed.
No beat-close rate is shown until the sample is large enough to be honest — the same discipline as the public win rate.
Now measure your own.
The CLV Tracker logs your bets, settles them against the closing line, and shows whether you beat the close — your real scoreboard, stored in your browser. The same metric we hold ourselves to.
Open the CLV Tracker →Risk disclosure
Sports wagering is real risk. Only stake what you can afford to lose without changing your week. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Past performance does not guarantee future results.